knowmemarket Markets - Page 21

Browse page 21 of knowmemarket prediction events, reference probabilities and event details.

  1. Will the STAREE trial show statins significantly improve at least one co-primary endpoint? Will the STAREE trial show statins significantly improve at least one co-primary endpoint?
  2. Will euro-area employment grow at least 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026? Will euro-area employment grow at least 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026?
  3. Will a film directed by a woman win the 2026 Venice Golden Lion? Will a film directed by a woman win the 2026 Venice Golden Lion?
  4. Will the United States win the 2026 FIBA Women's Basketball World Cup? Will the United States win the 2026 FIBA Women's Basketball World Cup?
  5. Will U.S. nonfarm payrolls rise by at least 100,000 in July 2026? Will U.S. nonfarm payrolls rise by at least 100,000 in July 2026?
  6. Will Paul McCartney win the 2026 Mercury Prize? Will Paul McCartney win the 2026 Mercury Prize?
  7. Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 US Open women's singles title? Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 US Open women's singles title?
  8. Will Hakainde Hichilema win Zambia's 2026 presidential election on the first ballot? Will Hakainde Hichilema win Zambia's 2026 presidential election on the first ballot?
  9. Will United Russia retain a majority of State Duma seats after Russia's 2026 election? Will United Russia retain a majority of State Duma seats after Russia's 2026 election?
  10. Will the Czech National Bank hold its policy rate at 3.75% on August 6, 2026? Will the Czech National Bank hold its policy rate at 3.75% on August 6, 2026?
  11. Will NASA's SpaceX Crew-13 launch by September 30, 2026? Will NASA's SpaceX Crew-13 launch by September 30, 2026?
  12. Will the 2026 Arctic sea-ice minimum fall below 4.4 million square kilometers? Will the 2026 Arctic sea-ice minimum fall below 4.4 million square kilometers?
  13. Will Douglas Stuart's John of John make the 2026 Booker Prize shortlist? Will Douglas Stuart's John of John make the 2026 Booker Prize shortlist?
  14. Will the U.S. federal government avoid a shutdown on October 1, 2026? Will the U.S. federal government avoid a shutdown on October 1, 2026?
  15. Will Sweden's Social Democrats be the largest party in the 2026 parliamentary election? Will Sweden's Social Democrats be the largest party in the 2026 parliamentary election?
  16. Will the U.S. August 2026 unemployment rate be at least 4.5%? Will the U.S. August 2026 unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?
  17. Will the U.S. Q2 2026 GDP second estimate remain at or above 1.5%? Will the U.S. Q2 2026 GDP second estimate remain at or above 1.5%?
  18. Will NASA's Roman Space Telescope launch by September 30, 2026? Will NASA's Roman Space Telescope launch by September 30, 2026?
  19. Will The Pitt win Outstanding Drama Series at the 2026 Emmys? Will The Pitt win Outstanding Drama Series at the 2026 Emmys?
  20. Will Brazil's 2026 presidential election go to a runoff? Will Brazil's 2026 presidential election go to a runoff?