Merz leaving office before 2027: latest prediction
Event Details
Explains the year-end deadline, current 15.5% probability and formal exit-announcement rule; final settlement waits for one completed Gamma/UMA outcome.
- Status: open
- Volume: 2.34M
- Liquidity: 69.11K
- Best bid: 6%
- Best ask: 7%
Outcomes
- Yes 6.5%
- No 93.5%
Resolution Rules
Yes if he leaves office or formally announces resignation or removal before the deadline; otherwise No. Settle only after Gamma/UMA shows one completed unambiguous outcome.