Full analysis: Will NASA launch DUST III by the end of October?

Full analysis: Will NASA launch DUST III by the end of October?

Event Details

NASA lists the DUST III Black Brant IX sounding rocket as a net-October 2026 mission from Poker Flat, Alaska. Opening 66%: NASA’s net-October window supports an October launch, while sounding rockets remain exposed to weather, range and technical delays. Yes if NASA confirms DUST III lifted off by October 31 at 23:59 Alaska Daylight Time; a scrub, launch after the cutoff, or cancellation is No.

Information source

Sounding Rockets future missions

Outcomes

  • Yes 66%
  • No 34%

Resolution Rules

Yes if NASA confirms DUST III lifted off by October 31 at 23:59 Alaska Daylight Time; a scrub, launch after the cutoff, or cancellation is No.

Help & Learning

Rules & Safety

Rapid Markets

About knowmemarket