Latest prediction: Will the 2026 Chemistry Nobel have exactly three laureates?
Event Details
Due no earlier than 17:45 Beijing time on October 7, with a 68% opening probability. Eight of the last ten prizes had three laureates; exactly three names in the first official release resolves Yes, otherwise No.
Information source
2026 Nobel Prize announcement dates and Chemistry Prize facts
- Status: settled
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Final Result
No
Outcomes
- Yes 68%
- No 32%
Resolution Rules
Yes only if the first official press release names exactly three individual laureates; one, two or no award resolves No.