Latest prediction: Will JAXA's MMX spacecraft launch on October 20?
Event Details
JAXA schedules MMX on H3 Flight No.10 for 04:41:03 JST on October 20. Opening probability is 84%: the spacecraft is at the range and an exact time signals advanced readiness, while the long backup period shows a meaningful weather or technical scrub risk. Yes if JAXA's first official launch result confirms MMX on H3 Flight No.10 lifted off on October 20, 2026 JST. No if it does not lift off that JST day or moves to a backup date.
Information source
- Status: closed
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 84%
- No 16%
Resolution Rules
Yes if JAXA's first official launch result confirms MMX on H3 Flight No.10 lifted off on October 20, 2026 JST. No if it does not lift off that JST day or moves to a backup date.