Full analysis: Will Meta's Q3 2026 revenue reach $62.5 billion?

Event Details

Meta reports after the U.S. close on October 21; its prior Q3 revenue guidance was $61-64 billion. Opening probability is 55%: the threshold is exactly the midpoint of $61-64 billion guidance and strong Q2 growth tilts upward, tempered by Meta's stated roughly 1% FX headwind. Use GAAP total revenue in Meta's first Q3 2026 release: $62.500 billion or more is Yes; less is No. Exclude later amendments, estimates, constant-currency growth and advertising revenue alone.