Complete guide: Will IBM's Q3 2026 revenue reach $17.5 billion?

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IBM reports after the U.S. close on October 21; Q2 revenue was $17.2 billion, up 1% year on year. Opening probability is 61%: the threshold is only $0.3 billion above Q2 and full-year growth guidance helps, but a 7% Q2 infrastructure decline limits conviction. Use GAAP consolidated revenue from continuing operations in IBM's first Q3 release: $17.500 billion or more is Yes; less is No. Exclude segments, constant-currency growth, bookings, estimates and amendments.