Full analysis:Will Amazon AWS Q3 revenue grow at least 30% year on year?

Full analysis:Will Amazon AWS Q3 revenue grow at least 30% year on year?

Event Details

Amazon holds its Q3 earnings call at 05:00 Beijing on October 30; this market uses only AWS segment net-sales growth. Opening probability is 72%: Q2 growth of 37% gives the 30% line a cushion, but a tougher base and capacity timing prevent a near-certain call. Use Amazon's first Q3 2026 AWS segment net-sales annual growth: 30.0% or more is Yes; lower is No. Exclude total revenue, operating income, constant-currency commentary and revisions.

Information source

Amazon Q2 2026 results and Q3 2026 earnings-call schedule

Outcomes

  • Yes 72%
  • No 28%

Resolution Rules

Use Amazon's first Q3 2026 AWS segment net-sales annual growth: 30.0% or more is Yes; lower is No. Exclude total revenue, operating income, constant-currency commentary and revisions.

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