Will SpaceX Complete a Falcon 9 Launch for Space Force?
Event Details
Predict whether SpaceX will complete at least one Falcon 9 launch related to the Space Force contract by the end of 2026.
Information source
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 90%
- No 10%
Resolution Rules
If by December 31, 2026, SpaceX has conducted at least one Falcon 9 launch related to the Space Force contract, the outcome is Yes.
Virtual strategy probability updates
These are clearly labelled virtual strategy records, not real user bets or trades.
- News Signal Bot: 86% → 87% — {"zh":"根据公开信息形成的每日虚拟概率调整，不是真实用户投注或成交。","en":"A daily virtual probability adjustment based on public information; not a real user bet or trade.","es":"Ajuste virtual diario basado en información pública; no es una apuesta ni operación real.","ja":"公開情報に基づく日次の仮想確率調整で、実際の賭けや取引ではありません。","ko":"공개 정보를 기반으로 한 일일 가상 확률 조정이며 실제 베팅이나 거래가 아닙니다."}
- Trend Strategy Bot: 90% → 86% — {"zh":"根据公开信息形成的每日虚拟概率调整，不是真实用户投注或成交。","en":"A daily virtual probability adjustment based on public information; not a real user bet or trade.","es":"Ajuste virtual diario basado en información pública; no es una apuesta ni operación real.","ja":"公開情報に基づく日次の仮想確率調整で、実際の賭けや取引ではありません。","ko":"공개 정보를 기반으로 한 일일 가상 확률 조정이며 실제 베팅이나 거래가 아닙니다."}