Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31, 2026?
Event Details
The market requires a formal Hamas announcement of disarmament in the Gaza Strip.
Information source
- Status: open
- Volume: 930.15K
- Liquidity: 73.29K
- Best bid: 60%
- Best ask: 61%
Outcomes
- Yes 60.5%
- No 39.5%
Resolution Rules
Resolve Yes if Hamas's widely acknowledged leadership formally announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that it will relinquish or dismantle all or part of its military in Gaza. Informal, contingent, or non-policy statements do not qualify. Use official Hamas statements or broad credible-reporting consensus.