Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
Event Details
The first round is scheduled for October 4, and the market includes a runoff if nobody wins an absolute majority of valid votes.
- Status: open
- Volume: 27.48M
- Liquidity: 569.03K
- Best bid: 19%
- Best ask: 20%
Outcomes
- Yes 19.5%
- No 80.5%
Resolution Rules
Resolve Yes if Lula is officially confirmed as winner of Brazil's 2026 presidential election, including any runoff; any other winner is No. TSE results and credible-reporting consensus control.