Will Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic return to normal by September 30, 2026?
Event Details
The market defines normalization as IMF PortWatch's seven-day moving average of transit calls reaching 60.
- Status: settled
- Volume: 12.30M
- Liquidity: 0
- Best ask: 0.1%
Final Result
No
Outcomes
- Yes 0.1%
- No 99.9%
Resolution Rules
Resolve Yes if IMF PortWatch publishes a Strait of Hormuz seven-day moving average of transit calls at least 60 for any date through September 30; otherwise No. Allow up to 14 days for final data.