Will Strait of Hormuz ship traffic return to normal by August 31, 2026?
Event Details
Settlement requires IMF PortWatch's seven-day moving average of ship arrivals to reach 60.
- Status: settled
- Volume: 18.06M
- Liquidity: 0
- Best ask: 0.1%
Final Result
No
Outcomes
- Yes 0.1%
- No 99.9%
Resolution Rules
Yes if IMF PortWatch publishes a seven-day moving average of Strait arrivals at or above 60 for any date through August 31; otherwise No. Original revision and 14-day delay rules apply.