Will AfD win an absolute majority in Saxony-Anhalt's 2026 state election?
Event Details
The active public market currently prices Yes at 23.0%, with about $0.36 million total volume and $0.05 million traded in 24 hours.
- Status: settled
- Volume: 1.38M
- Liquidity: 0
- Best ask: 0.1%
Final Result
No
Outcomes
- Yes 0.1%
- No 99.9%
Resolution Rules
Resolve Yes if the final result of the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election shows AfD winning more than half of all seats; otherwise resolve No. Seat count alone controls, not vote share. A consensus of credible reporting may establish the result, but any ambiguity is settled by the official result published by the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag or state election authority. If voting does not occur or no definitive result is known by January 31, 2027, resolve No.