Will AfD win an absolute majority in Saxony-Anhalt's 2026 state election?
Event Details
The active public market currently prices Yes at 23.0%, with about $0.36 million total volume and $0.05 million traded in 24 hours.
- Status: open
- Volume: 536.62K
- Liquidity: 86.40K
- Best bid: 16%
- Best ask: 17%
Outcomes
- Yes 16.5%
- No 83.5%
Resolution Rules
Resolve Yes if the final result of the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt Landtag election shows AfD winning more than half of all seats; otherwise resolve No. Seat count alone controls, not vote share. A consensus of credible reporting may establish the result, but any ambiguity is settled by the official result published by the Saxony-Anhalt Landtag or state election authority. If voting does not occur or no definitive result is known by January 31, 2027, resolve No.