Brazil 2026 election: in-depth look at Augusto Cury's winning chance
Event Details
Track the October 4 vote, the current 3.95% probability, roughly $2.115 million in real volume, and settlement under official TSE results.
- Status: settled
- Volume: 5.51M
- Liquidity: 0
- Best ask: 0.1%
Final Result
No
Outcomes
- Yes 0.1%
- No 99.9%
Resolution Rules
Automatic settlement requires Gamma closed, UMA resolved, one unique outcome priced at 1, and two consecutive matching checks. If reporting is ambiguous, official TSE results control; insufficient evidence stays under review.