Latest prediction for Israel's airspace: complete September risk guide
Event Details
Review the September 30 deadline, 66.5% live probability, about $1.11 million real volume, and civilian-airspace, Gamma and UMA rules.
- Status: open
- Volume: 1.11M
- Liquidity: 98.58K
- Best bid: 66%
- Best ask: 67%
Outcomes
- Yes 66.5%
- No 33.5%
Resolution Rules
Yes for an Israel-initiated broad commercial closure over all or most civilian airspace. Local delays, airline-only or foreign restrictions, and weather closures do not count; Gamma and UMA must confirm one outcome.