Latest prediction for Israel's airspace: complete September risk guide
Event Details
Review the September 30 deadline, 66.5% live probability, about $1.11 million real volume, and civilian-airspace, Gamma and UMA rules.
- Status: settled
- Volume: 3.57M
- Liquidity: 0
- Best bid: 99.9%
- Best ask: 100%
Final Result
Yes
Outcomes
- Yes 99.9%
- No 0.1%
Resolution Rules
Yes for an Israel-initiated broad commercial closure over all or most civilian airspace. Local delays, airline-only or foreign restrictions, and weather closures do not count; Gamma and UMA must confirm one outcome.