Republican control of Congress in 2026: full analysis
Event Details
Explains the current 11.5% probability and Senate/House seat, runoff and independent rules; both chambers must qualify and final settlement waits for Gamma/UMA.
- Status: open
- Volume: 8.37M
- Liquidity: 3.83M
- Best bid: 8%
- Best ask: 9%
Outcomes
- Yes 8.5%
- No 91.5%
Resolution Rules
Yes only if Republicans control both Senate and House; failure in either chamber is No. Runoffs and independents follow the source rules, and settlement waits for one completed Gamma/UMA outcome.