Iran and a formal NPT exit before 2027: full analysis
Event Details
Explains the December 31 deadline, current 13.7% chance, formal written-notice test and about $502,000 volume; final settlement awaits Gamma/UMA.
- Status: open
- Volume: 621.71K
- Liquidity: 42.30K
- Best bid: 11.2%
- Best ask: 12.2%
Outcomes
- Yes 11.7%
- No 88.3%
Resolution Rules
Yes only for an explicit official written Article X withdrawal notice delivered to the UN by December 31 at 11:59 PM ET; rhetoric or a parliamentary motion alone is No. Await one completed Gamma/UMA result.