Complete guide to Alberta's 2026 referendum odds
Event Details
Explains the current 9.4% chance, roughly $291,309 volume, the 2026 deadline and held-and-passed test; final settlement awaits Gamma/UMA.
- Status: open
- Volume: 451.58K
- Liquidity: 28.93K
- Best bid: 1.5%
- Best ask: 1.6%
Outcomes
- Yes 1.6%
- No 98.5%
Resolution Rules
Yes only if a qualifying independence referendum is held and passes by December 31, 2026; otherwise No. Await completed Gamma/UMA settlement.