Can François Ruffin become France's next president? | Complete guide
Event Details
Gamma currently prices a François Ruffin victory in the next French presidential election near 0.25% Yes. The opening probability tracks Gamma's approximately 0.25% Yes price, not a fabricated local estimate; liquidity and price may change. Yes only if Ruffin wins that election. Use a consensus of credible reports; in an ambiguous case rely solely on the French Interior Ministry's official result. If the winner remains unknown at 11:59 p.m. ET on December 31, 2027, the source market assigns Other, which is No here. Settle only on a unique completed Gamma/UMA outcome.
- Status: open
- Volume: 4.84M
- Liquidity: 387.69K
- Best ask: 0.2%
Outcomes
- Yes 0.1%
- No 99.9%
Resolution Rules
Yes only if Ruffin wins that election. Use a consensus of credible reports; in an ambiguous case rely solely on the French Interior Ministry's official result. If the winner remains unknown at 11:59 p.m. ET on December 31, 2027, the source market assigns Other, which is No here. Settle only on a unique completed Gamma/UMA outcome.