In-depth: Will China’s president enter the United States by September 23?
Event Details
The market shows 99.25% Yes, about $209,662 in 24-hour volume, and a September 23, 11:59 PM ET deadline. Synced 99.25%: heavy trading and the near deadline show near-certainty, while arrival timing or an itinerary change leaves a small tail risk. Yes if Xi Jinping physically enters US terrestrial or maritime territory after market creation and by September 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET; otherwise No. US airspace alone is insufficient. Settle only after a unique completed Gamma/UMA outcome.
- Status: settled
- Volume: 658.90K
- Liquidity: 0
- Best bid: 99.9%
- Best ask: 100%
Final Result
Yes
Outcomes
- Yes 99.9%
- No 0.1%
Resolution Rules
Yes if Xi Jinping physically enters US terrestrial or maritime territory after market creation and by September 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET; otherwise No. US airspace alone is insufficient. Settle only after a unique completed Gamma/UMA outcome.