Latest prediction: Will Trump cease being US president by September 30?

Latest prediction: Will Trump cease being US president by September 30?

Event Details

The source market shows 0.25% Yes, about $1.64 million total volume and $289,000 over 24 hours. Synced 0.25%: deep liquidity and trading imply an extremely unlikely near-term exit, while constitutional tail risk is not literally zero. Yes if he resigns, is removed, or permanently ceases the presidency by September 30 at 11:59 PM ET; otherwise No. A pre-deadline announcement with later effect qualifies; a temporary transfer does not. Settle only from one completed Gamma/UMA result.

Final Result

No

Outcomes

  • Yes 0.1%
  • No 99.9%

Resolution Rules

Yes if he resigns, is removed, or permanently ceases the presidency by September 30 at 11:59 PM ET; otherwise No. A pre-deadline announcement with later effect qualifies; a temporary transfer does not. Settle only from one completed Gamma/UMA result.

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