Complete guide: Will Brazil's 2026 presidential runoff turnout reach 78%?
Event Details
The TSE confirms the runoff for October 25; about 125.2 million people voted in round one, nearly 79% of 158.7 million eligible electors. Opening probability is 58%: round one was nearly 79% and the presidential candidates were only about 2.25 million votes apart, supporting mobilization, though runoff participation can slip. Use the TSE's final nationwide second-round result: turnout (comparecimento) of 78.00% or more after complete tabulation is Yes; below is No. Exclude valid-vote share, state data, interim counts and round-one turnout.
Information source
Official 2026 second-round calendar and nationwide election results
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 58%
- No 42%
Resolution Rules
Use the TSE's final nationwide second-round result: turnout (comparecimento) of 78.00% or more after complete tabulation is Yes; below is No. Exclude valid-vote share, state data, interim counts and round-one turnout.