Will U.S. July 2026 CPI inflation be at least 3.0% year over year?

Will U.S. July 2026 CPI inflation be at least 3.0% year over year?

Event Details

BLS is scheduled to publish July CPI on August 12; headline CPI was 3.5% year over year in June.

Information source

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics

Outcomes

  • Yes 78%
  • No 22%

Resolution Rules

Use the first BLS release of the July 2026 U.S. city average CPI-U 12-month percent change, not seasonally adjusted. At least 3.0% is Yes; below 3.0% is No. Later revisions do not reopen settlement.

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