Hormuz traffic reaching 60 by year-end: complete guide

Hormuz traffic reaching 60 by year-end: complete guide

Event Details

Explains the December 31 deadline, current 18.5% chance and IMF PortWatch seven-day threshold; final settlement waits for one completed Gamma/UMA result.

Outcomes

  • Yes 11.5%
  • No 88.5%

Resolution Rules

Yes if any published seven-day moving average through December 31 is at least 60; otherwise No. Apply the source's delay, revision and clear-error provisions, then await one completed Gamma/UMA result.

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