Will the Fed raise rates by at least 50 basis points at its September 2026 meeting?
Event Details
The source market has about $4.55 million cumulative and $712,000 daily volume, with a price near 0.45%; this site applies its 8% floor.
- Status: settled
- Volume: 33.43M
- Liquidity: 0
- Best ask: 0.1%
Final Result
No
Outcomes
- Yes 0.1%
- No 99.9%
Resolution Rules
Yes if the upper bound of the target federal funds range rises by 50 basis points or more in the September FOMC statement; a smaller hike, no change or cut is No.