Latest prediction for an August U.S. retail-sales rebound

Latest prediction for an August U.S. retail-sales rebound

Event Details

Analysis of the September 16 release, July's 0.6% fall, the 0.3% August forecast and 64% opening chance; the first Census estimate settles it.

Information source

Advance Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services

Outcomes

  • Yes 64%
  • No 36%

Resolution Rules

Yes if the first August 2026 month-over-month figure is above 0.0%; 0.0% or lower is No. Later revisions do not change settlement.

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