Latest prediction for the BOJ's September rate decision

Latest prediction for the BOJ's September rate decision

Event Details

Explains the September 18 BOJ decision, 1.0% baseline, 84% opening chance and first-statement test for at least 1.25%.

Information source

September 17-18, 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting

Outcomes

  • Yes 84%
  • No 16%

Resolution Rules

Yes if the first official statement sets the guideline at around 1.25% or higher; below 1.25% is No. Later corrections, minutes and speeches do not count.

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