Latest prediction on Opportunity's New Zealand 5% vote threshold
Event Details
November 7 election, conflicting 9.5% and 4.5% polls, and a 57% opening chance; settlement uses the November 27 final valid party-vote return.
Information source
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 57%
- No 43%
Resolution Rules
Yes at 5.00% or more of valid nationwide party votes in the Electoral Commission's final official return; less, or not listed, is No. Ignore provisional election-night figures.