Latest prediction for New Zealand's October 3% OCR test

Latest prediction for New Zealand's October 3% OCR test

Event Details

October 28 review, a 2.75% September OCR and a 45% opening chance; the bank's official October decision against 3.00% settles the question.

Information source

September 2026 OCR increase and October decision schedule

Outcomes

  • Yes 45%
  • No 55%

Resolution Rules

Yes for an official October decision of at least 3.00%; otherwise No. A delayed decision counts through November 30; none by then is No.

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