Will the Parti Québécois win the most Québec seats? | In-depth

Event Details

Québec votes on October 5; a September Pallas poll puts the Parti Québécois at 27%, with CAQ and Liberals at 23% each. Opening 42%: a 27%-to-23%-to-23% poll edge helps, but a close three-way race and local seat distribution limit certainty. Yes if Élections Québec's official 2026 general-election tally gives the Parti Québécois strictly more seats than every other party. A tie for first or any lower finish is No. Use the finalized official seat count; remain pending while official results are incomplete.