Latest prediction：Will U.S. September payrolls grow by at least 100,000?
Event Details
The BLS schedules its September jobs release for October 2; August nonfarm payrolls grew by 162,000. Opening 42%: August's 162,000 beat the threshold, but July's 21,000 and the prior twelve-month average of 31,000 suggest the bounce may fade. Yes if the BLS first Employment Situation release for September 2026 reports seasonally adjusted total nonfarm payroll employment up by at least 100,000 from August; under 100,000 is No. Use the initial release, not household employment, later revisions, or ADP. Wait for the first report if delayed.
Information source
- Status: closed
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 42%
- No 58%
Resolution Rules
Yes if the BLS first Employment Situation release for September 2026 reports seasonally adjusted total nonfarm payroll employment up by at least 100,000 from August; under 100,000 is No. Use the initial release, not household employment, later revisions, or ADP. Wait for the first report if delayed.