Latest prediction: Will euro-area inflation be at least 3.2% in September?

Event Details

Eurostat confirmed 3.2% euro-area inflation for August and schedules the September flash estimate for October 2. Opening 58%: August finished exactly at 3.2% and energy stayed strong, but its flash reading was revised from 3.3%, leaving meaningful threshold risk. Yes if Eurostat’s first September 2026 euro-area headline annual HICP flash estimate is at least 3.2%; below 3.2% is No. Use the first flash figure, not EU or core inflation, the final release, or revisions; wait if delayed.