Latest prediction: Will Canadian retail sales fall at least 0.5% in July?

Event Details

Statistics Canada releases July data on September 24 after an advance estimate of a 0.8% monthly decline. Opening 72%: the advance estimate is -0.8%, giving a 0.3-point cushion, but it used only 56.5% of survey responses and will be revised. Yes at -0.5% or lower in the first official release; above -0.5% is No. Ignore the advance estimate and later revisions; wait if delayed.