Latest prediction: Will the BOJ raise rates again in October?

Latest prediction: Will the BOJ raise rates again in October?

Event Details

The BOJ meets October 29-30 after raising its overnight-rate target to about 1.25% in September. Opening 36%: September’s 7-2 hike and pledge to keep raising support tightening, but a back-to-back move only six weeks later remains less likely than not. Yes if the first official October 29-30 statement sets the target above 1.25%; unchanged or lower is No, and a delay means wait.

Information source

Statements on Monetary Policy 2026

Outcomes

  • Yes 36%
  • No 64%

Resolution Rules

Yes if the first official October 29-30 statement sets the target above 1.25%; unchanged or lower is No, and a delay means wait.

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