Latest prediction: Will euro-area September inflation be at least 3.0%?
Event Details
Eurostat will issue September’s flash estimate on October 2; the final August annual rate was 3.2%. Opening 77%: August finished at 3.2%, giving a 20-basis-point cushion; a monthly easing is plausible, but dropping below 3.0% requires a sharper slowdown. Use Eurostat’s first September flash estimate for the all-items HICP annual rate; 3.0% or higher is Yes, below 3.0% is No, and later revisions do not change settlement.
Information source
Euro area annual inflation, August 2026 and Euro indicators calendar
- Status: closed
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 77%
- No 23%
Resolution Rules
Use Eurostat’s first September flash estimate for the all-items HICP annual rate; 3.0% or higher is Yes, below 3.0% is No, and later revisions do not change settlement.