Latest prediction: Will U.S. September unemployment be 4.2% or lower?
Event Details
BLS will release the September jobs report on October 2; August unemployment was 4.1% and payrolls rose by 162,000. Opening 76%: August was 4.1% and the rate changed little over the year, leaving a 0.1-point cushion; 24% remains for labor-supply or layoff shocks. Use the first BLS September seasonally adjusted civilian unemployment rate; 4.2% or lower is Yes, 4.3% or higher is No, and later revisions do not count.
Information source
- Status: closed
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 76%
- No 24%
Resolution Rules
Use the first BLS September seasonally adjusted civilian unemployment rate; 4.2% or lower is Yes, 4.3% or higher is No, and later revisions do not count.