Latest prediction: Will the U.S. September ISM Manufacturing PMI reach 54?

Latest prediction: Will the U.S. September ISM Manufacturing PMI reach 54?

Event Details

ISM releases the September manufacturing report at 22:00 Beijing time on October 1; the PMI was 54.6 in August and 55.6 in July. Opening 60%: August at 54.6 provides a 0.6-point cushion, but the one-point fall from July keeps the edge modest. Use the first official September ISM Manufacturing PMI; 54.0 or higher is Yes, below 54.0 is No, and later revisions do not count.

Information source

September 2026 Manufacturing PMI release calendar and August report

Outcomes

  • Yes 60%
  • No 40%

Resolution Rules

Use the first official September ISM Manufacturing PMI; 54.0 or higher is Yes, below 54.0 is No, and later revisions do not count.

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