Complete guide: Will U.S. weekly initial jobless claims be 205,000 or lower?

Complete guide: Will U.S. weekly initial jobless claims be 205,000 or lower?

Event Details

The Labor Department releases the weekly report at 20:30 Beijing time on October 1; the prior week had 197,000 initial claims and a 202,250 four-week average. Opening 70%: the latest 197,000 and four-week average of 202,250 are below the threshold; 30% remains for a weekly jump. Use the first seasonally adjusted initial-claims figure released October 1; 205,000 or lower is Yes, 206,000 or higher is No, and revisions do not count.

Information source

Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims reports

Outcomes

  • Yes 70%
  • No 30%

Resolution Rules

Use the first seasonally adjusted initial-claims figure released October 1; 205,000 or lower is Yes, 206,000 or higher is No, and revisions do not count.

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