Latest prediction: Will U.S. average hourly earnings rise at least 0.3% in September?
Event Details
BLS releases the September jobs report at 20:30 Beijing time on October 2; August average hourly earnings rose 0.3% month over month and 3.1% year over year. Opening 55%: August was exactly 0.3% and annual growth remained 3.1%, giving Yes a slight edge; proximity to the threshold and rounding risk limit confidence. Use the first BLS September month-over-month figure for average hourly earnings of all private nonfarm employees; 0.3% or higher is Yes, 0.2% or lower is No, and later revisions do not count.
Information source
August 2026 Employment Situation and 2026 CPS release calendar
- Status: closed
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 55%
- No 45%
Resolution Rules
Use the first BLS September month-over-month figure for average hourly earnings of all private nonfarm employees; 0.3% or higher is Yes, 0.2% or lower is No, and later revisions do not count.