Complete guide: Will euro-area retail trade volume rise in August 2026?

Complete guide: Will euro-area retail trade volume rise in August 2026?

Event Details

Eurostat releases August data on October 6; July fell 0.6% month over month after June was revised to a 0.2% gain. Opening 45%: July’s 0.6% drop raises the chance of a technical rebound, but June grew only 0.2% and the pattern is choppy, leaving No slightly favored. Use Eurostat's first seasonally adjusted August euro-area month-on-month figure; above zero is Yes, zero or negative is No, and later revisions do not count.

Information source

Euro indicators retail trade release

Final Result

Yes

Outcomes

  • Yes 45%
  • No 55%

Resolution Rules

Use Eurostat's first seasonally adjusted August euro-area month-on-month figure; above zero is Yes, zero or negative is No, and later revisions do not count.

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