Complete guide: Will U.S. core CPI be at least 2.5% in September 2026?

Event Details

BLS releases the data at 20:30 Beijing time on October 14; core CPI was 2.4% year on year in August, down from 2.5% in July. Opening 45%: August at 2.4% and recent cooling slightly favor No; a 0.3% monthly rise and sticky services still leave a substantial path back to 2.5%. Yes if the first unadjusted 12-month all-items-less-food-and-energy rate is at least 2.5%; below 2.5% is No. Do not use monthly, headline or revised figures.