Complete guide: Will a woman win the 2026 Nobel economics prize?

Event Details

The official economics prize announcement is due after 17:45 Beijing time on October 12; only the first formal laureate list counts. Opening 24%: the historical base rate is low, while shared prizes raise the cumulative chance of at least one woman above the individual share. Yes if at least one individual in the first official 2026 Economic Sciences laureate list is a woman; all men, only an organization, or no award is No.