Latest prediction: Will Japan September national CPI inflation be at least 1.9%?

Event Details

Japan’s Statistics Bureau releases the data on October 23; under the 2025 base, August’s national all-items index rose 1.9% year over year. Opening 54%: August sat exactly on the threshold, giving persistence a slight Yes edge; post-rebase volatility and national composition limit confidence. Yes if the first September national 2025-base all-items CPI is up 1.9% or more year over year; below is No. Ex-fresh-food CPI, Tokyo CPI, forecasts and revisions do not count.