Complete guide: Will UK September CPI inflation be at least 3.1%?
Event Details
ONS releases the figure at 14:00 Beijing time on October 21; August CPI inflation rose from 2.9% to 3.1%. Opening 58%: August already met 3.1% and fuel created clear upward pressure, giving Yes a modest edge; one-month base effects limit confidence. Yes if the first ONS September bulletin gives all-items CPI inflation of 3.1% or more over 12 months; below is No. CPIH, monthly rates, forecasts and revisions do not count.
Information source
Consumer price inflation release calendar and August 2026 bulletin
- Status: settled
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Final Result
Yes
Outcomes
- Yes 58%
- No 42%
Resolution Rules
Yes if the first ONS September bulletin gives all-items CPI inflation of 3.1% or more over 12 months; below is No. CPIH, monthly rates, forecasts and revisions do not count.