Full analysis: Will Great Britain retail sales volumes avoid a September decline?

Event Details

ONS releases the September first estimate at 14:00 Beijing time on October 23; August rose 0.5%, while September demand indicators weakened. Opening probability is 43%: August was +0.5%, but weaker September footfall and demand plus fuel-cost pressure make a small decline slightly more likely. Use the first ONS seasonally adjusted month-on-month total retail-sales volume including fuel: 0.0% or higher is Yes; below 0.0% is No. Exclude revisions, values, three-month and annual rates.