Full analysis: Will Germany's October CPI inflation reach 3.3%?
Event Details
Germany's CPI rose 3.3% year on year in September, the 2026 high, as energy prices climbed 14.9%. Opening probability is 57%: September already met 3.3% and strong energy inflation supports persistence, but monthly fuel volatility keeps confidence modest. Use Destatis' first national October CPI year-on-year figure: 3.3% or more is Yes; below is No. Exclude HICP, core inflation, state estimates, monthly change and later revisions.
Information source
Germany CPI September 2026 and official CPI release calendar
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 57%
- No 43%
Resolution Rules
Use Destatis' first national October CPI year-on-year figure: 3.3% or more is Yes; below is No. Exclude HICP, core inflation, state estimates, monthly change and later revisions.