Complete guide:Will U.S. pending home sales rise in September 2026?
Event Details
NAR releases the data at 22:00 Beijing on October 20; August rose 0.3% month on month but fell 4.7% year on year. Opening probability is 48%: August's 0.3% gain may continue, but NAR cites a sluggish market and elevated mortgage rates, keeping it just below even. Use the first NAR September 2026 national month-over-month change: above 0.0% is Yes; 0.0% or below is No. Exclude regional, year-over-year and revised figures.
Information source
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Outcomes
- Yes 48%
- No 52%
Resolution Rules
Use the first NAR September 2026 national month-over-month change: above 0.0% is Yes; 0.0% or below is No. Exclude regional, year-over-year and revised figures.