Full analysis：Will Canada's August 2026 real GDP grow at least 0.1%?
Event Details
Statistics Canada releases August data at 20:30 Beijing on October 30; July was flat and the advance estimate points to 0.2% growth. Opening probability is 74%: Statistics Canada's own advance estimate is +0.2%, one tenth above the threshold; revisions and July's flat reading cap confidence. Use the first all-industries monthly real-GDP change for August 2026: +0.1% or more is Yes; below +0.1% is No. Use the adjusted chained-volume headline and no later revisions.
Information source
Gross domestic product by industry release schedule and July 2026 release
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 74%
- No 26%
Resolution Rules
Use the first all-industries monthly real-GDP change for August 2026: +0.1% or more is Yes; below +0.1% is No. Use the adjusted chained-volume headline and no later revisions.