Full analysis：Will Australia's September 2026 inflation reach 4.0%?
Event Details
The ABS releases September CPI at 08:30 Beijing on October 28; annual inflation rose from 3.5% in July to 4.0% in August. Opening probability is 61%: August was exactly 4.0%, up 0.5 point from July, but base effects and volatile goods prices make the threshold uncertain. Use the first ABS September 2026 national all-groups CPI annual rate: 4.0% or more is Yes; lower is No. Exclude monthly, trimmed-mean, city and revised figures.
Information source
Consumer Price Index, Australia — August 2026 and September release calendar
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 61%
- No 39%
Resolution Rules
Use the first ABS September 2026 national all-groups CPI annual rate: 4.0% or more is Yes; lower is No. Exclude monthly, trimmed-mean, city and revised figures.